XAUMO’s Full Confluence Trading Report
1. MARKET OUTLOOK: Strategic Overview
Time Context: NY session closed. Cairo 09:25. We’re prepping for the next full market cycle.
Trend Context: Market is in bullish short-term uptrend (Wave 3 complete), but entering a high-probability exhaustion zone.
Volatility Outlook: RVOL dropping = market drying. Big moves require caution. Trap potential is high.
Institutional Behavior: Smart money accumulated early, pushed breakout, and likely distributing now.
2. TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE SNAPSHOT
WAVE ANALYSIS:
Wave 1: 3,229 → 3,259 (30 pts)
Wave 2: 3,259 → 3,246 (classic pullback)
Wave 3: 3,246 → 3,300 (extended leg)
Wave 4: Expected pullback to 3,279–3,287 (38.2%)
Wave 5 Targets:
TP1: 3,306 (61.8%)
TP2: 3,317 (equal leg)
TP3: 3,324 (123.6% extension)
HARMONIC PATTERN: Bearish ABCD
AB: 3,229 → 3,259
BC: 3,259 → 3,246 (50–61.8% retrace)
CD (Projected): Equal leg = 3,306
Extended CD (1.272–1.618): 3,324 – 3,325
D Point Completion Zone: 3,306 – 3,325
VSA SIGNALS:
Climactic Volume around 3,300 = distribution
No Demand + Narrow Spread into highs
Potential Upthrust at 3,324 zone = Bearish reversal confirmation
Volume trap forming in RED ZONE
VOLUNACCI ZONES:
Level
Price
Signal
38.2% (Wave 4 support)
3,287
Potential bullish bounce
100% AB=CD
3,306
First exhaustion test
123.6% extension
3,324
KILL ZONE (with volume climax)
3. TRAFFIC LIGHT ZONES – EXECUTION MAP
GREEN
3,279 – 3,287
Buy Wave 4 (bounce zone)
YELLOW
3,306 – 3,316
Be cautious. Watch for trap signs
RED ZONE
3,317 – 3,325
Institutional sell zone (reversal trigger)
4. TRADE SETUPS – PRECISION ENTRY PLANS
A. LONG SETUP – Bounce from Wave 4
Entry: 3,287
SL: 3,275
TP1: 3,306
TP2: 3,317
TP3: 3,324
Trigger: Bullish candle + rising volume @ Fib zone
B. SHORT SETUP – Killshot at Harmonic Completion
Sell Limit: 3,324
SL: 3,331
TP1: 3,300
TP2: 3,287
TP3: 3,259
Trigger: Upthrust / Bearish Engulfing / VSA confirmation
You now have:
Full Elliott Wave Map
Harmonic Pattern Completion
VSA Institutional Fingerprint
Volunacci-Driven Entry Zones
Traffic Light Execution Grid
This is a confluence fortress.
1. MARKET OUTLOOK: Strategic Overview
Time Context: NY session closed. Cairo 09:25. We’re prepping for the next full market cycle.
Trend Context: Market is in bullish short-term uptrend (Wave 3 complete), but entering a high-probability exhaustion zone.
Volatility Outlook: RVOL dropping = market drying. Big moves require caution. Trap potential is high.
Institutional Behavior: Smart money accumulated early, pushed breakout, and likely distributing now.
2. TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE SNAPSHOT
WAVE ANALYSIS:
Wave 1: 3,229 → 3,259 (30 pts)
Wave 2: 3,259 → 3,246 (classic pullback)
Wave 3: 3,246 → 3,300 (extended leg)
Wave 4: Expected pullback to 3,279–3,287 (38.2%)
Wave 5 Targets:
TP1: 3,306 (61.8%)
TP2: 3,317 (equal leg)
TP3: 3,324 (123.6% extension)
HARMONIC PATTERN: Bearish ABCD
AB: 3,229 → 3,259
BC: 3,259 → 3,246 (50–61.8% retrace)
CD (Projected): Equal leg = 3,306
Extended CD (1.272–1.618): 3,324 – 3,325
D Point Completion Zone: 3,306 – 3,325
VSA SIGNALS:
Climactic Volume around 3,300 = distribution
No Demand + Narrow Spread into highs
Potential Upthrust at 3,324 zone = Bearish reversal confirmation
Volume trap forming in RED ZONE
VOLUNACCI ZONES:
Level
Price
Signal
38.2% (Wave 4 support)
3,287
Potential bullish bounce
100% AB=CD
3,306
First exhaustion test
123.6% extension
3,324
KILL ZONE (with volume climax)
3. TRAFFIC LIGHT ZONES – EXECUTION MAP
GREEN
3,279 – 3,287
Buy Wave 4 (bounce zone)
YELLOW
3,306 – 3,316
Be cautious. Watch for trap signs
RED ZONE
3,317 – 3,325
Institutional sell zone (reversal trigger)
4. TRADE SETUPS – PRECISION ENTRY PLANS
A. LONG SETUP – Bounce from Wave 4
Entry: 3,287
SL: 3,275
TP1: 3,306
TP2: 3,317
TP3: 3,324
Trigger: Bullish candle + rising volume @ Fib zone
B. SHORT SETUP – Killshot at Harmonic Completion
Sell Limit: 3,324
SL: 3,331
TP1: 3,300
TP2: 3,287
TP3: 3,259
Trigger: Upthrust / Bearish Engulfing / VSA confirmation
You now have:
Full Elliott Wave Map
Harmonic Pattern Completion
VSA Institutional Fingerprint
Volunacci-Driven Entry Zones
Traffic Light Execution Grid
This is a confluence fortress.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.