Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3428.Colleagues, in the last forecast I wrote that I expect to reach the target in the area of 3439.37 and I am not giving up on it. At the moment, the price has made a strong correction and so I will make a new forecast, in which the targets will remain almost unchanged, but I see that the wave pattern has changed a bit.
Now wave “1” lower wave is located higher and at the moment I believe that the price is in wave “5”.
A correction to the support area of 3265 is possible, but in general I expect to reach the resistance area of 3428.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Elliotwaveanalysis
XAU/USD Bullish Setup Confirmed After Wave C CompletionXAU/USD has completed a classic five-wave impulsive structure to the upside, followed by a clear ABC corrective phase. The price action shows that wave (5) has topped, and the market has since retraced through a three-wave ABC correction inside a well-defined descending channel.
Currently, wave C appears to have found support right at the lower trendline of the broader ascending structure, signaling a potential completion of the correction and the beginning of a new bullish impulse.
The reaction from this level is strong, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to drive the next leg higher
Wave Count: 5-wave impulse up, followed by ABC correction
Structure: Wave C completed at key channel support
Momentum: Bullish recovery expected if price holds above recent swing low
T1: 3332.268
T2: 3354.078
SL: 3289.400
BITCOIN ROAD TO 300K !!! ELLIOTT WAVE CASE STUDYThere are three possible cases for Bitcoin which we can now consider according to Elliot wave count on big picture:
Case I: According to this count if we hold above 74.5k , recent low, we may see major shift in BTC. Retracement Up to 92-79k is good which will form inverse head & shoulders, potentially breaking ATH up to 170K, if things goes well & 74.5K region remains on hold.
Case II: If in case 74.5K region breaks, then it will invalidate minor count causing BTC to retrace more up to 64-52K major reversal zone region. If such thing happens, bullish shark pattern will be formed causing major reversal from that region BUT 49K region should remained hold!!!
Case III: Worst case scenario if 49K region breaks, then it will cause major count invalidation dropping BTC further up to 45-33K region.
₿ BTC: Upside Potential Remains IntactBTC posted modest gains over the weekend, but more upside is expected in our primary scenario. We continue to track a corrective advance in green wave B, with the potential to extend into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. From that top, wave C should initiate a downward move into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323—completing orange wave a. Subsequently, we anticipate a bounce in wave b, followed by another decline in wave c, which should conclude the larger correction of blue wave (ii). There is still a 30% chance that blue wave alt.(i) could make a new high, extending beyond the Target Zone and delaying the broader corrective sequence.
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TRXUSDT at the Crossroads: Breakout or Stall?TRX is currently in the multi-leg Wave 4 consolidation, a classic corrective phase before the anticipated final Wave 5 impulsive.
This consolidation phase is healthy within the larger trend, allowing for overbought to fade before the next move higher.
A clear breakout above the $0.28–$0.30 range would affirm the Elliott Wave forecast, targeting $0.30 → $0.31 → $0.33. A confirmed close above $0.30 would unequivocally solidify the Wave 5 scenario, paving the way for these upside objectives.
The 81.77 monthly RSI suggests an overbought market, supporting the anticipation of continuous consolidation within Wave 4, potentially retracing back to the $0.25–$0.27 support zone before resuming higher.
Long-term trend indicators are firmly bullish, with the Monthly EMA (20) at $0.1911 and SMA (20) at $0.1769, both considerably below current price action, confirming unbroken upward momentum within the greater timeframes.
So while short-term price action suggests consolidation, technical stance favors continuation to the higher side, and a breakout above $0.30 would signal Wave 5's beginning and continued momentum towards $0.33.
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 115,000.I see that price has shown a violent rise in a five-wave move and I have redrawn the waves a bit to make it clear where to expect a correction. I think we are currently seeing a correction in wave “4” (104,000).
But most importantly, I expect an update of the high. Therefore, I believe that the level of 115,000 will be reached and it may be a wave “5”, after which we can expect a deeper correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold’s Week Ahead: Structure, Scenarios, and What to WatchChart Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is at a critical juncture. The recent action shows a completed three-wave correction, and price is now setting up for what could be a powerful motive wave. My primary scenario is a bullish move once the current structure matures, but I’m also tracking alternate counts—flat, triangle, and double zigzag—all of which still point to at least one more push higher.
Why This Count?
The leading diagonal (5-3-5-3-5 or 3-3-3-3-3) for wave 1 fits the textbook, with wave 4 overlapping wave 1—a classic Elliott Wave signature.
The three-wave correction appears complete, which often signals the start of a new impulsive sequence.
I’m watching for confirmation: a completed corrective pattern and a strong move off the lows.
What’s Next?
If the correction finishes and price holds above the wave 1 low, I’ll be looking for a long setup targeting the 100% or 1.618 extension of wave 1.
Invalidation is simple: if the wave 1 low breaks, the count is off and I’ll reassess.
I’ll wait for structure to complete before entering—patience is key.
Update on ARB! Bullish Impulse confirmed!ARB according to my Elliott Wave Theory knowledge, is currently grinding up in a bullish impulse. Wave 4 retraced around 38%-50% .618 invalidation looking lonely, just how I like it 👌. Subwave 3 of 3 maybe complete as we seem to be building a triangle structure, indicative of a wave 4. Not financial advice!
BTCUSD analysis for this cycle TopBTCUSD analysis for this cycle Top
1. According to the Elliot wave it is the 5th wave of elliot theory
2. As per the time cycles Btc should define the top in the last quarter of this year possibility in (oct or nov)
3. And for the projection as always the Btc favourite patthen AB=CB is also in play.
4. Fib extension tool level 1.618
So as we can see if btc will play according to this analysis. As its always follows this same things again & again in all cycle. So we can expect the top somewhere around (165,000).
Injective & Elliott WavesAn impulse leads to a correction. A correction leads to an impulse.
The chart here starts with a bullish impulse. 1,2,3,4,5—blue-left. This impulse leads to a correction. ABC—orange.
The first ABC correction, the bear market, ends June 2022.
A correction leads to an impulse so a new bullish impulse starts right after and we have a new 5-up waves. 1,2,3,4,5—blue-center.
The bullish impulse ends March 2024 and this leads to a new ABC correction. Orange-right. The correction hits bottom 7-April 2025. The end of the correction signals the start of a new bullish impulse, 1,2,3,4,5 blue-right. The 2025 bull market.
This is Elliott Wave Theory simplified.
Namaste.
Bearish Impulse Complete! Possible zigzag correction in play.Bearish wave 5 of impulse completed the Bearish Trend, now correcting to the upside in a zig zag structure, leg A & B complete, now for wave C im targeting the 1:1 of wave A. We will see if this remains a 3 wave structure, or if it runs into 5 waves it could be an A/W wave of a larger correction. I am still studying Elliott Waves so ahem, this is not financial advice!
Gold (XAU/USD) - 8H Time Frame Analysis - High Probability setup🔍 Bias: Strong Bullish Reversal from Demand (Wave 5 expected)
📌 Key Confluences:
Wave (4) retracement tapped into major demand zone and sell-side liquidity pocket.
Held support above the 200 EMA and dynamic cloud zone.
Volume spike near support shows accumulation by strong hands.
Wave (3) had strong momentum – wave (5) could extend to 4,000+ levels.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Buy Gold (XAU/USD) at 3,180 – 3,220
Stop Loss: Below 3,100 (invalidation of structure + trendline)
Take Profit: 3,950 – 4,050 (based on wave (5) projection)
⚠️ Risk Note: Wait for a bullish engulfing candle or volume confirmation above 3,250 if conservative.
This setup is a textbook bullish continuation off a major correction, supported by clean structure, liquidity sweep, and wave alignment — making it a prime high-probability buy for the next leg up.
Is Ferrari's stock still bullish?Is Ferrari's stock still bullish?
Technical Outlook
Elliot Wave theory suggests a cautious bullish stance. The present correction seems to be a temporary setback, likely driven by guidance and tariff fears, but sets the stage for a potential rally to $520-$540 if support is not broken. However, risks of a deeper correction (i.e., to $420-$440) persist if pressures from the outside intensify.
The stock is currently trading above all three of its major EMA levels — daily, weekly, and monthly — that is a good technical signal. The rising daily EMA at 479.98 suggests that short-run momentum remains healthy. The weekly EMA at 461.77 provides medium-term support, while the monthly EMA at 421.08 supports the longer-term trend solidly.
Positive Sentiment Factors
Ferrari reported robust Q1 2025 results, with net revenues of €1.79 billion (up 13% YoY), an operating profit of €542 million (up 22.7%), and a net profit of €412 million (up 17%). Adjusted earnings per share were €2.30, surpassing analyst expectations of €2.28. This shows Ferrari’s strong pricing power and demand for personalized vehicles.
Analyst Sentiment: Optimism remains for Ferrari among some analysts. UBS raised its price target to $560 from $520, maintaining a Buy rating, with the new Ferrari Elettrica a major catalyst, the company said. Bernstein and RBC Capital maintained Outperform ratings on the stock at $575 and €500, respectively. Barclays upgraded Ferrari to Overweight, calling it a "safe haven" in a shaky European automotive environment.
Brand Strength and Strategic Positioning: Ferrari’s luxury brand and high demand for models like the Roma Spider, 296 GTS, SF90 XX, and Purosangue bolster its market position.
Neutral Sentiment Factors
Market and Industry Context: The broader market has been volatile due to trade developments and tariff relief rallies. Ferrari’s stock has been influenced by these macroeconomic factors, but its luxury positioning makes it less sensitive than mass-market automakers.
Formula 1 Performance: Ferrari’s underwhelming Formula 1 season, with McLaren significantly outscoring Ferrari in points poses some concern among investors. While this does not directly impact stock performance, it may indirectly affect brand sentiment among enthusiasts.
Negative Sentiment Factors
Tariff Concerns: Ferrari shares have been sensitive to Trump's U.S. tariff policies. A tariff increase would add up to $50,000 to the price of an average Ferrari, potentially cutting sales volumes in the U.S., which accounts for 28.8% of net sales. JPMorgan warned that tariff impacts might be "worse" for Ferrari, lowering the price target to $460 from $525
Conclusion
Ferrari stock has a bullish but cautious bias, supported by solid fundamentals, favorable technical momentum, and positive analyst sentiment on upcoming product releases such as the Ferrari Elettrica. Macro risks, however, including U.S. trade policy and market volatility, are still major overhangs.
₿ BTC: Delay Tactics in Wave B Bitcoin dropped hard yesterday, throwing a wrench into the expected climb toward the top of green wave B. This bounce was supposed to stretch into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, which we flagged as a smart area to take partial profits or layer in short hedges. That zone still stands—BTC just isn’t ready to hit it yet. The current pullback suggests we’ll see more sideways-to-lower price action before green wave B wraps up. Once it does, green wave C should drag Bitcoin into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That’s where we’re looking for orange wave a to complete. After that, a countertrend rally in wave b could pop up—before wave c wraps the entire corrective cycle and finishes blue wave (ii). We’re also watching an alt.(i) breakout scenario (30% probability). In that case, BTC would blow through the $130,891 level early, bypassing the expected dip and reaching new highs faster than projected.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG resistance area of 6176.6.Colleagues, it appears that price has not yet completed the upward movement in a five-wave move.
At the moment I expect the continuation of wave “3” and reaching the target in the resistance area of 6176.6.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BTC: Facing Resistance?Bitcoin recently encountered renewed selling pressure, stalling the anticipated continuation of green wave B. Under the primary scenario, this corrective upward movement should still extend into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, where the price is expected to reverse and initiate green wave C. That move should complete with a low in the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323, thereby finalizing orange wave a. Following a corrective advance in wave b, the larger wave (ii) should reach its conclusion. There remains a 30% probability for the alternative scenario, in which BTC pushes above the upper blue Target Zone, establishing a new high in blue wave alt.(i)— which would delay the expected pullback.
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BTC: Maintaining Strength Bitcoin continues to hover around the $105,000 level. In line with the primary scenario, we expect the advance in green wave B to extend toward the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. This zone can be used to lock in partial gains or establish hedges via short positions. From there, a corrective wave C is likely to follow, driving prices lower into the blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323 — marking the end of the larger wave a. A corrective bounce should unfold next, ahead of the final selloff completing blue wave (ii). The alternative scenario, with a 30% probability, envisions a breakout above $130,891 and the establishment of a new high as part of blue wave alt.(i).
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S&P500: Approaching the 88.70% RetracementThe S&P 500 continued its climb, nearing the 88.70% Fibonacci retracement level. The top of magenta wave (B) has not yet been confirmed, so under the primary scenario, we continue to expect further upside into the magenta Target Zone between 5,880 and 6,166. Once that zone is reached, wave (C) is expected to take over and drive the index into the next Target Zone — the green zone between 4,988 and 4,763. Short positions initiated within the upper zone remain viable and can be protected with a stop 1% above the top of the range. The alternative scenario — assigned a 40% probability — assumes the rally will continue directly into wave alt.(III) in blue, with a breakout above the 6,675 resistance. Over the long term, we continue to expect one final impulsive leg higher in blue wave (III) once the broader green wave correction is complete. This should take the S&P 500 well above the 6,166 mark.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTCUSD Wave Count: Bitcoin Unfolding Wave ((5)) ?Hello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Let's analyze the Bitcoin chart today using Elliott Wave theory. As we can see, Bitcoin recently made a high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025. We've marked this as the completion of Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)). After that, it dropped to complete Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025. Now, it's moving up, possibly unfolding Wave ((5)). According to Elliott Wave principles, Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. So, our nearest invalidation level is the 31st May's low at $103000. If the price sustains above this level, we can expect it to move towards $115,000 as a Projected Target of wave ((5)). However, if it breaks below the invalidation level, we'll need to re-analyze the wave counts. We've also drawn some trend lines, marked in black dotted lines, which act as support and resistance. This is a 1-hour time frame chart. The red line marking the nearest invalidation level is crucial. If it breaks, we'll need to adjust our wave counts. If it holds, we can expect the price to move up towards $115,000. Let's see how the market unfolds. Please note that this is an educational analysis and not a trading tip or advice.
Analysis Summary
- Analyzing Bitcoin chart using Elliott Wave theory to understand market trends and potential price movements.
- Recent high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025, & Recent Low around $103,000 on 31st May 2025 indicates a significant turning point in the market.
Wave Count
- Completed Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)) suggests a major uptrend has concluded.
- Completed Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025 indicates a correction phase has ended.
- Possibly unfolding Wave ((5)) implies a new uptrend may be emerging.
Key Levels
- Nearest invalidation level: 31st May's low at $103,000 serves as a crucial support level.
- Projected Target: $115,000 represents a potential upside target based on Elliott Wave principles.
Elliott Wave Principles
- Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1: a key rule governing wave relationships.
- Wave ((5)) projection based on Fibonacci ratios and wave extensions.
Chart Details
- 1-hour time frame chart provides a detailed view of recent price action.
- Trend lines marked in black dotted lines highlight key support and resistance levels.
- Red line marking nearest invalidation level is crucial for validating the wave count.
Important Notes
- Breaking below the invalidation level would require re-evaluation of the wave count.
- Sustaining above the invalidation level increases confidence in the projected target.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.