Trading Recommendations for the BTC/USDU.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated yesterday that USD-backed stable coins could reach a market capitalization of $2 trillion or more. His remarks indicate growing governmental interest in cryptocurrencies, particularly stable coins, as a potentially vital component of the future financial system. Bessent emphasized that with proper regulation, stable coins could enhance payment efficiency, reduce transaction costs, and expand access to financial services for millions of people.
He also noted that stable coins could help broaden the global use of the U.S. dollar and that congress is advancing legislation requiring such coins to be backed by high-quality assets like U.S. Treasury bonds.
It's worth noting the U.S. Senate yesterday voted 68 to 30 to pass the Stable coin Regulation Act, bringing it closer to final approval. If enacted, the legislation could lead to a 10x increase in stable coin supply over the next for years - up to $2 trillion. As a result, stable coin issuers may acquire up to $1.6 trillion in U.S. government bonds for their reserves.
As for the medium-term strategy , I will continue to capitalize on deep pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum, anticipating continuing the broader bullish market trend.
As for short-term trading, the strategy and conditions are described below.
Scenario 1: Buy Bitcoin today on a break above $108,1000, with a target of $108,700. Exit the buy position near $108,700 and open a short on the pullback. Before buying, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in positive territory.
Scenario 2: Buy from the lower boundary of $107,500 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for a reversal back to $108,100 and $108,700.
Sell Scenario
Scenario 1: Sell Bitcoin today from $107,500, targeting $106,800. Exit shorts at $106,800 and consider buying on the bounce. Confirm that the 50-day moving average is above the current price, and the Awesome Oscillator is in negative territory.
Scenario 2: Sell from the upper boundary at $108,100 if there is no follow-through breakout, targeting $107.500 and $106,800.
Trend Lines
USNAS100 -Risk-Off Sentiment Keeps USNAS100 in Bearish TerritoryUSNAS100 – Bearish Momentum Holds as Traders Watch Geopolitical Risks and Fed Signals
The NASDAQ (USNAS100) remains under pressure as market sentiment stays cautious amid ongoing Middle East tensions and uncertainty ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve outlook. While the geopolitical escalation has not triggered panic, it continues to weigh on risk appetite—particularly in tech-heavy indices.
Technical Outlook:
The price currently appears to be heading toward 21635. A 1H close below this level is expected to confirm further downside toward 21470.
A break below the key support zone could open the door to the next bearish leg targeting 21065.
To shift the structure to bullish, the price would need a confirmed 4H candle close above the 21790–21850 resistance zone.
Key Levels:
• Support: 21635, 21470, 21375
• Resistance: 21930, 22090, 22200
SPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed DecisionSPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed Decision
Futures tied to the S&P 500 are slightly higher as traders appear to be shrugging off Middle East tensions, viewing the situation as contained for now. However, geopolitical uncertainty remains a risk, and attention is shifting toward upcoming Fed commentary and policy direction.
Technical Outlook:
The index may pull back toward 5989 and 5966. A break below 5966 opens the path toward 5938, with an extended target at 5902.
However, a 1H close above 6010 would signal renewed bullish momentum toward 6041.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 6041, 6098, 6143
• Support: 5966, 5938, 5902
NAS100 - Stock market awaits an important week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. If it does not rise again above the broken trend line, I expect a correction.
If the index returns above the broken trend line, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded on the Nasdaq. It is better to wait for confirmation on the breakout in order to control further risk.
Last week, U.S. stock markets—particularly the Nasdaq index—experienced significant volatility, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical factors:
• A reduction in trade tensions due to ongoing U.S.-China negotiations
• The release of inflation indicators
• Heightened geopolitical tensions
According to Politico, as G7 leaders meet in Canada, the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran will top the agenda. Politico reported that leaders of the free world have gathered in the Rocky Mountains to discuss the very real threat of a full-scale war in the Middle East. The initial sessions of the G7 summit will take place in Kananaskis, where the worsening Israel-Iran conflict will be the primary focus. Donald Trump, who in recent days has fueled tensions through social media, is now expected to join discussions aimed at de-escalation.
On the economic front, lower-than-expected inflation in May could encourage the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner than markets had previously anticipated. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that inflation rose 2.4% in May compared to a year earlier. Housing costs were identified as the primary driver of this inflation, while price increases in categories most affected by high tariffs were not as pronounced as economists had expected. So far this year, the Fed has refrained from cutting its benchmark interest rate, citing concerns that tariffs might push consumer prices higher. While the likelihood of a rate cut at this week’s meeting remains low, the latest report could ease some of these worries and accelerate the timeline for potential cuts.
Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that a growing group of President Trump’s advisers is urging him to consider Besant for the Fed chair position. Jerome Powell’s current term extends until May 2026, and he was originally nominated by Trump in November 2017. Other names reportedly under consideration include Kevin Warsh (considered a favored candidate), Kevin Hassett (head of the White House National Economic Council), Christopher Waller (a current Fed board member), and David Malpass (former World Bank president).
After a week dominated by U.S. inflation data, investor attention in the coming days will shift toward central bank decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates. The trading week kicks off Monday with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an initial snapshot of the industrial sector in New York. Later that day, the Bank of Japan will announce its first interest rate decision, an event that could shape Asian market trends and the yen’s valuation.
On Tuesday, May’s U.S. retail sales data will be released—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness in this report could bolster expectations for rate cuts. Wednesday will be the focal point of the week, as the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. While markets have already priced in a pause in tightening, investors will scrutinize Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the likelihood of rate cuts in the months ahead. Additionally, data on May housing starts and weekly jobless claims will also be released that day.
On Thursday, with U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth, attention will turn to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Changes in tone or interest rates from these key European central banks could influence currency market volatility. Finally, the week will conclude Friday with the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index—a leading indicator closely watched by traders for insights into the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. East.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Reach Previous ATH?!Bitcoin is above EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its short-term descending channel. We can look for Bitcoin short positions from the specified supply range. If this range is broken, the path to the rise and a new ATH for Bitcoin will be presented.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market is required, more than we would like. If the downtrend continues, I can buy in the desired range.
Bitcoin is now approaching its all-time high, yet unlike previous bullish cycles, we have not seen widespread profit-taking so far. The market’s whales currently seem uninterested in large-scale selling at these levels and appear to be waiting for higher price targets.
Since the start of January 2024, cumulative inflows of over $60 billion have poured into crypto-related investment products in the U.S., including ETPs and ETFs. In addition, retail investor futures trading volumes have recently surpassed their one-year average. Indicators of retail activity suggest that a significant number of smaller investors have become active in the futures markets.
The total assets under management by crypto investment funds surged to an unprecedented $167 billion in May. This impressive growth was fueled by net inflows of more than $7 billion into these funds. Meanwhile, global equity funds recorded $5.9 billion in outflows, and gold funds, for the first time in 15 months, also saw capital leaving.
The year 2025 could turn out to be the most dangerous year yet for cryptocurrency holders. Already, more than 25 incidents involving physical attacks on crypto owners have been reported, and the year isn’t even over. These attacks have targeted individuals whose digital asset information or identities were compromised, leading to thefts, kidnappings, physical threats, or assaults.
On another front, the total value of circulating stablecoins has surpassed $250 billion, more than doubling from its mid-2023 low of $123 billion. USDT remains the market leader with a 62% share, followed by USDC at 24%, while other stablecoins such as USDe, DAI, and BUIDL are also expanding their presence.
It is worth noting that average spot trading volumes on centralized exchanges have dropped to their lowest levels since October 2020.This kind of pattern typically precedes a significant price move—whether that’s a sharp rally or a deep correction. It’s also possible that this phase of uncertainty could persist for several more weeks.
Beyond the News: Why I Trust the Charts When Trading GoldBased on the current structure, I believe gold is in the fifth wave of a larger Elliott Wave formation. On the higher time frame, the price action appears to be contained within a channel that resembles a leading diagonal pattern—where Wave 1 is typically the longest. From this perspective, I anticipate a potential retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the most recent upward move, or a test of the lower boundary of the channel before a reversal may occur.
My trading plan involves two potential entry strategies:
Enter at the 0.618 Fib retracement with a stop-loss set near the 0.881 level.
Wait for a bounce off the lower channel, followed by a pullback and a breakout above the start of the pullback before entering the position.
While no trader can be right all the time, having a structured plan with predefined take-profit and stop-loss levels is key to effective risk management and long-term survival in the markets.
Why I Favor Technical Over Fundamental Analysis
For those wondering why I rely more on technical analysis—especially Elliott Wave Theory—over fundamental news, here’s my reasoning:
I’ve found that news and earnings-based trades often behave irrationally. A company may report strong earnings and guidance, only to see its stock sell off, fake a rally the next day, and then sell off again. Conversely, a company with poor earnings may drop ahead of the report, only to rally immediately after. These inconsistencies made it difficult to build a reliable strategy based solely on fundamental data.
Over time, I observed that despite news events, the market often completes its technical structure—such as Elliott Wave formations and Fibonacci cycles—before fully reacting to news. In these cases, fundamental developments tend to accelerate or confirm the direction already implied by the technical setup, rather than override it.
Gold is no exception. While it's common to assume that the S&P 500 (ES) and gold move in opposite directions due to risk-on/risk-off dynamics, I’ve noticed that they can trend in the same direction when their respective Elliott Wave structures align. This doesn't eliminate the inverse correlation concept entirely, but it highlights the importance of integrating technical analysis into a fundamentally driven view for more precise entries and exits.
Ultimately, I view fundamentals as the fuel, and technicals as the engine that defines the path.
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices...
After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042.
The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend.
Resistance levels: 0.8157
Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042
A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY Long potential setupWhat's going on?
USDJPY – Reload Zone Marked. If They Take Me Out, I’ll Be Waiting Lower.
Discipline means you don’t chase. You wait where the market must return.
Currently in 2 buys, one is an added position, then I moved my stop in from the purple line— but if those get wicked out, I’m hunting the next key demand zone just beneath 144.10. Where we'll have a textbook spring setup!
🧠 What I See:
We're forming a potential micro accumulation structure.
If the current position gets taken out, I’ll reload lower at the spring aligned with the prior reaction low + liquidity sweep zone.
🎯 Next Area of Interest:
Zone: 144.00 – 144.10
📌 Target Remains:
144.76 → 145.36
1.618 extension aligns with supply inefficiencies & range completion
---
> “Stop loss isn’t failure. It’s recon. The second entry — that’s where pros feast.”
I’m not trading emotion. I’m trading plan + precision + execution.
Gold Reclaims Bullish Zone—Perfect Time for a Swing EntryGold has once again reclaimed bullish momentum after breaking through the key support zone around $3,412, previously a stubborn ceiling that had acted as resistance multiple times throughout late May and early June. The break above this level—validated by a decisive green Supertrend flip—indicates a short-term trend reversal in favor of buyers.
After a brief consolidation phase, XAUUSD formed a solid breakout candle, confirming upward momentum. The current price action sits comfortably above the Supertrend line, which is now acting as dynamic support, while volume has picked up notably during the move up—an important confirmation of institutional interest and breakout strength.
Trade Setup Breakdown
• Entry: Above the $3,412 breakout area (now acting as support)
• Stop Loss: Below the key support zone, ideally near $3,373–$3,375 to allow for wick re-tests and avoid premature exits
• Target/TP: Resistance zone marked near $3,484–$3,500, which aligns with a prior consolidation ceiling from late April and early May. This target offers a risk-reward ratio of approx. 2.3:1, which is favorable for a swing position.
• Re-entry Opportunity: If gold retraces back to the $3,373–$3,383 zone (support cluster), it would provide a high-probability re-entry while keeping the same TP of $3,500.
Why the Bias Is Bullish
1. Structure Break & Supertrend Flip
The key breakout above previous resistance was clean and confirmed by the Supertrend flip to green, a historically reliable short-term bullish signal.
2. Volume Confirmation
Volume spikes on the breakout candles confirm real buying pressure—not just a false breakout or low-liquidity movement.
3. Support Retest Potential
The $3,412–$3,383 zone now forms a strong demand area where buyers are likely to defend their positions if price pulls back. This zone also aligns with historical congestion from earlier price action.
4. Macro Context (Not in chart but relevant)
Ongoing economic uncertainty, rising global tensions, and interest rate speculation continue to boost gold's safe-haven appeal. Traders are increasingly rotating into gold during periods of macro volatility.
Outlook
Gold is likely to continue climbing toward the $3,500 mark unless it closes below $3,373 on high volume. Bulls appear to be in control, and even a minor pullback could serve as a buying opportunity. As long as the price remains above the flipped Supertrend and $3,373 support, the bullish case remains intact.
ETHUSDT Daily: Navigating the "Deciding Area" Chart Overview:
The ETHUSDT Daily chart presents a compelling narrative of a significant uptrend, followed by a sharp correction, and now shows price approaching a critical inflection point. Key support and resistance zones, along with a crucial trendline, define the current market structure. The chart is labeled "Bullish," suggesting the analyst's long-term bias or expectation of a continuation of the prior uptrend.
1. The Prior Bullish Trend (Late 2023 - Early 2025):
Long-Term Uptrend Line (Green): From around September 2023 into early 2025, ETHUSDT exhibited a strong bullish trend, respecting a clear upward-sloping trendline (highlighted in green). Price consistently found support on this trendline, indicating robust buying pressure and a controlled ascent.
Key Resistance ($3900 to $4000): During this period, ETH encountered significant resistance around the $3900 to $4000 zone. This area represents a supply zone where sellers stepped in, preventing further upward movement on multiple attempts.
2. The Major Correction & Trendline Breakdown (Early 2025):
Sharp Downturn: In early 2025, ETHUSDT experienced a steep and aggressive correction. This bearish impulse led to a decisive breakdown below the long-term green uptrend line.
Shift in Momentum: The breach of this established trendline was a critical event, signaling a significant shift in short-to-medium term momentum from bullish to bearish.
3. Finding Support & Bounce Back:
Weekly Support ($2000 to $2200): After the breakdown, price found initial strong support in the $2000 to $2200 zone. This area had acted as a crucial pivot in previous price history, demonstrating its significance as a demand zone.
Strong Support ($1400 to $1500): Below the weekly support, the $1400 to $1500 zone is identified as "Strong support." This would be the next major demand area if the 2000−2200 level were to fail. The chart shows price briefly dipping below the 2000−2200 zone before finding a base and initiating a strong rebound.
Recent Bounce: The current price action shows a strong bounce from the lows reached after the trendline breakdown, indicating renewed buying interest and an attempt to recover.
4. The "Deciding Area" ($2900 to $3000 & Red Trendline):
Confluence of Resistance: The most critical area on the chart is the "Deciding Area," which represents a confluence of significant resistance levels:
The Former Green Trendline (now acting as resistance): What was once a strong support trendline has now likely flipped to become a resistance trendline (implied by the red line, which is parallel or an extension of the green line). Price often retests broken trendlines before continuing in the new direction.
Horizontal Resistance Zone ($2900 to $3000): This grey box aligns with previous support/resistance levels and now acts as a key overhead supply zone.
Current Price Engagement: Price is currently approaching the lower boundary of this "Deciding Area." This zone will determine the immediate future direction of ETH.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation (Breakout): If ETHUSDT can successfully break above the "Deciding Area" ($2900 to $3000 zone and the red trendline) with strong volume, it would signal a significant shift in buying conviction. The next logical target would be the "Key Resistance $3900 to $4000" area, and potentially a retest of its all-time highs. The current bullish arrow on the chart suggests this is the anticipated move if the "Deciding Area" is breached.
Bearish Rejection (Reversal): A strong rejection from the "Deciding Area" could see ETHUSDT consolidate or retrace back towards the "Weekly Support $2000 to $2200" zone. A failure to hold this support could then lead to a test of the "Strong Support $1400 to $1500."
Conclusion:
ETHUSDT is at a pivotal point, engaging with a highly significant "Deciding Area" that combines both horizontal and trendline resistance. The ability of the bulls to push through this zone will be crucial for determining whether the rally from the recent lows can continue towards prior highs or if ETH will face another period of consolidation or deeper correction. Traders should closely monitor price action and volume at these critical levels for confirmation of the next directional move.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-15 14:00 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-15 14:00 UTC
This setup illustrates a high-probability short-term trade using confluence between technical indicators, price action, volume behavior, and order book data.
Entry Conditions
A potential long entry was identified around 105,289.39 based on the following:
RSI (21) was in the oversold zone, below the 40 level
MACD (8/18/6) histogram flipped from negative to positive, signaling momentum shift
Stochastic (21,5,5) showed a %K/%D bullish crossover in the oversold region
A bullish reversal candlestick pattern formed near short-term support
Whale activity detected in the order book, including a 3.87 BTC buy wall
EMA Ribbon (5/13) indicated a bullish crossover
Take Profit & Risk Management
Target level for potential profit was set near 106,489.39, representing approximately a 1.2% move from entry
Stop loss was positioned at 104,689.39, around 0.6% below the entry to maintain a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio
Order Flow Context
On-balance volume (OBV) was rising, supporting upward pressure
Bid dominance reached 41.9%, indicating aggressive buyers in control
Depth of market showed strong support from large limit buy orders
Important Notes for Traders
Always backtest setups before applying in live market conditions
Use stop losses to protect capital
The golden opportunity comes again.This week, gold showed a slow bullish upward pattern, rising repeatedly and circuitously, and finally closed positive on the weekly line. On Friday, it was blocked twice at the high level of 3445, and the closing price remained sideways. The market is expected to continue the upward trend next week. If it breaks through 3445, it is expected to further challenge the 3500 mark or even set a new high. Combined with the recent fundamentals and the continued warming of the geopolitical situation, it provides solid support for bulls. However, the current market shock sweep is still the main rhythm, and it is not advisable to blindly chase highs in operation. It is still recommended to focus on retracement and long positions. The key support of the daily line refers to the top and bottom conversion position of 3403 and the low point of 3419 on Friday. If it falls back to the above area, you can rely on the support to arrange long positions at the right time. The overall trend is still inclined to bulls, and short positions can only be tried with a light position. Remember that strict risk control is required against the trend. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy at the bottom, and pay attention to it in time.
Operation suggestion: Gold is recommended to go long near 3405-3400, with the target looking at 3445 and 3465. If it is strong, rely on the support of 3420-3415 area and choose the opportunity to go long.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time. 🌐
EURUSD InsightWelcome, subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- On the 13th, Israel highlighted the risk of a broader conflict across the Middle East following Iran's retaliatory attacks in response to Israeli preemptive strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities and key military targets.
- The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to announce a plan to slow the pace of government bond purchase reductions at its upcoming monetary policy meeting.
- Political risk in the U.S. has intensified as protests condemning the Trump administration have erupted across the country. Combined with tax-related issues, the "Sell USA" sentiment is gaining momentum.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 17: BOJ interest rate decision, U.S. May retail sales
+ June 18: U.K. May Consumer Price Index (CPI), Eurozone May CPI, FOMC meeting outcome
+ June 19: BOE interest rate decision
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The recent rally has extended up to the 1.16000 resistance level, which marks the trend high. It currently appears to be pulling back due to resistance at this level, and there's a strong possibility of a short-term decline toward the 1.13000 level. However, if the pair breaks above the current resistance, the short-term trend may shift bullish, potentially targeting the 1.17500 level. A new strategy should be established promptly to account for this scenario.
Crude oil is the ultimate winner
💡Message Strategy
Currently trading around $70.00 a barrel during Friday's European session, crude oil prices surged on growing concerns about supply disruptions. Rising tensions in the Middle East threaten navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, a key passage for about 20% of global oil shipments.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil prices in the medium term broke through the upper resistance of the range and tested a new high of 75.50. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is upward.
The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued to fluctuate upward, and the price near 74 was tested. The moving average system relies on the bullish arrangement of oil prices, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. Oil prices hit a new high near 75.30, and then fell back and closed with a negative real candlestick. The short-term momentum is still bullish, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level oscillation upward rhythm.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:70.09-71.50
SPX500 VEP Trader Strategy | Trend + Liquidity + Precise We’ve confirmed a strong bullish trend in SPX500 supported by solid momentum on the daily timeframe using the Squeeze Momentum indicator. The market shows potential to continue upward but may first revisit key liquidity zones.
🔍 Identified Liquidity Zones
We’ve marked high-liquidity zones on the following daily candles:
📅 Thursday, June 5
📅 Thursday, June 12
📅 Tuesday, June 3
These are areas where the market may pull back to sweep open orders before resuming the bullish trend.
🎯 Key Area: Fair Value Gap (15min)
We are expecting price to reach a 15-minute FVG identified on Monday, June 2 at 10:15 AM.
✅ Target level: $5,892
If the price taps into this zone, we’ll be watching for a bullish reaction.
🛠️ Entry Confirmation (5min or 2min)
Once the reaction occurs:
Look for a new FVG on 5M or 2M.
Confirm that Squeeze Momentum continues to show bullish strength.
If aligned, we enter CALLs with high confidence.
📉 Risk Management
Stop Loss: $5,860
Take Profit 1: Nearest recent High
Take Profit 2 and beyond: Continue marking each new High as a profit-taking step
📌 Final Thoughts
This is a clean setup combining liquidity analysis, FVG structure, and VEP Trader confirmation for high-probability trading.
It’s a plan that respects patience, structure, and precision.
📸 (See attached chart for full visualization of structure, levels, and gaps)
#SPX500 #VEPTrader #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #FVGTrading #DayTrading #TradingViewIdeas #PBInvesting
US30 | Bearish Below 42610, Eyes on 42410 and 42160US30 | OVERVIEW
The price has reversed and is now under bearish pressure, following stabilization below the 42690 – 42610 zone.
📉 As long as the index trades below this zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 42410, and a 1H candle close below that level could extend the move to 42160.
📈 Alternative Scenario:
A clear stabilization above 42810 would shift momentum to bullish, targeting higher levels.
Pivot: 42610
Support Levels: 42410, 42160
Resistance Levels: 42690, 42810, 43080
USOIL Remains Bullish Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Steady Fed USOIL – Bullish Outlook Amid Geopolitical and Policy Factors
The ongoing escalation in the Middle East, combined with Jerome Powell's stance on holding interest rates steady, continues to support bullish momentum across commodities, including oil.
Technical Outlook:
USOIL remains bullish as long as it trades above 72.72 and more firmly above 70.40, with upside potential toward 77.30 and 79.50. If bullish momentum persists, a further extension to 84.14 is possible, supported by geopolitical risks.
A bearish shift is only likely if significant de-escalation or negotiations between Israel and Iran take place.
Key Levels:
• Pivot Point: 72.90
• Resistance: 77.29, 79.50, 84.10
• Support: 66.87, 63.52, 59.00
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while price holds above 68.53
US30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East TensionsUS30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions
U.S. indices, particularly the Dow Jones (US30), are under sustained bearish pressure due to intensifying geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of de-escalation or negotiation, market sentiment remains risk-off.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the crisis continues, US30 is likely to maintain its downward momentum. The price appears set to test the 41770 level, with potential continuation toward 41310.
Only a clear signal of de-escalation or diplomatic engagement may reverse this trend, possibly triggering a recovery toward 42810.
For now, the directional bias remains bearish.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42160
• Support: 41770, 41310, 40700
• Resistance: 42410, 42810, 43210
Click to see the Previous idea
Gold Eyes ATH Amid Escalating Geopolitical TensionsGOLD – OVERVIEW
Commodities, particularly gold, are experiencing strong bullish pressure due to escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of negotiation or de-escalation, the ongoing conflict continues to fuel safe-haven demand. As long as geopolitical risks remain elevated, bullish momentum in commodities is expected to persist.
Technical Outlook:
Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3404. Holding above this level supports a continuation toward the ATH at 3486, with potential extensions to 3529 and 3560. A retest of the 3404 support remains possible, and an opening gap toward 3486 cannot be ruled out. Overall, the prevailing trend remains upward.
A bearish scenario would only be valid if tensions in the Middle East ease significantly or if negotiations between Israel and Iran begin.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3431
• Resistance: 3486, 3529, 3560
• Support: 3404, 3381, 3347