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Bigger correction for EUHi traders, Last week EU did not make an impulse wave 3 but instead it slowly went up. And after the ECB rate decision on Thursday it started to drop. At the moment the pattern is not very clear. This could be a bigger correction down for wave 4 (black) so my main bias is to the downside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of a small correction up to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
4
EURUSD: heading toward double-top?The jobs data were in the spotlight of the US market during the previous week. The JOLTs job openings in April reached 7,391M, a bit hotter from market forecast of 7,10M. The Non-farm Payrolls in May added 139K new jobs, which was modestly higher from the forecasted 130K. The unemployment rate remained unchanged in May at the level of 4,2%. The average hourly earnings were higher by 0,4% for the month and 3,9% for the year. As for other posted data, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for May was standing at 48,5, modestly below market estimate of 49,5. The ISM Services in May were standing at 49,9, lower from estimated 52,3. Previous week on the European market was marked with an eighth rate cut by 25bps, bringing the reference rate to 2%. Potential further rate cuts will continue to be data-driven. The ECB also cut its inflation forecast till the end of this year to 2%, from 2,3% forecasted previously. At the same time, the posted flash inflation rate in the Euro Zone in May is 1,9% on a yearly basis, which was below market estimate of 2%. The core inflation continues to be a bit elevated, standing at the level of 2,3% y/y in May. EuroZone inflation in May was 0% compared to the previous month. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Zone in May was down by -2,2% for the month, and 0,7% on a yearly basis. The balance of trade in Germany in April had a surplus of euro 14B, which was significantly lower from estimated euro 20,2B. During the previous week the currency pair was moving relatively slowly, within a short range. Fundamentals were shaping the investors sentiment. One one side, the ECB new cut of reference rates, while on the other side were relatively stable jobs data for the US market. The eurusd spent the previous week in a range between 1,1340 and 1,1450. There was a short move toward the 1,1490 on Thursday, but the market was not willing to test the 1,15 level on this occasion. Based on moves, the market is still not ready to move away from 1,14 lines. The RSI continues to move above the level of 50, indicating again that the market is not ready to take the path toward the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from its MA200 counterpart, without an indication of a potential change of course in the coming period. The week ahead is bringing US inflation data for May as well as inflation expectations from the University of Michigan survey. In case of some negative movements in this segment, the market reaction might be triggered. In this case it could be expected further weakening of the US Dollar against Euro, and a trigger for testing of the 1,15 level. Highs from April this year at 1,1570 might easily become the market target. However, if May inflation holds at levels expected by the market, which could be the most likely scenario, then some short term straightening of US Dollar might take place. The first stop would certainly be the 1,14 level, while the next one stands at 1,1275. It is interesting to mention higher potential for double top formation in the technical analysis, which eurusd is currently modestly forming. In case that the double top is triggered in the coming week or two, then the next level for eurusd could be 1,12 level, where highs from September 2024 stands. However, this scenario, if it occurs, could be revealed within the next few weeks. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Industrial Production in April in the EuroZone, final inflation rate in May for Germany USD: Inflation rate in May, Producers Price Index in May, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for June.
by XBTFX
3
CHFJPY - 1700 Pip Reversal Incoming!The last time we looked at CHFJPY was back in October 2024, where we forecasted a large ABC correction. Fast forward to now - that correction is nearly complete! We're currently in the 5th subwave of wave C, and everything points toward a massive drop setting up. We expect a move of at least 1500 pips. On the Daily timeframe, structure is clear: - Clean 5-3-5 ABC correction - Price is approaching a key sell zone - A clear entry trendline is in place — couldn’t ask for a cleaner setup Trade Idea: - Watch for rejection within the sell zone - Aggressive entry: Inside sell zone with stops above invalidation - Conservative entry: On break of trendline, stops above the break candle Targets: TP1: 165.00 (≈1300 pips) TP2: 161.50 (≈1700 pips) Optional: Leave a runner for a long-term swing Let me know what you think in the comments. See below for our last VIP setup for CHFJPY which played out perfectly. 1000pips secured! Good luck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
2
USDJPY Pending Short at 146.32In this idea, I have plotted all the necessary information on the chart itself. But allow me to point them out in words: 1. A resistance zone drawn with a rectangle that shows 5 red down arrows, out of which 4 are historical price rejection points and the last one is an expected rejection point at the top of the resistance zone which will be our short entry. 2. An Elliott Wave count update that shows a double combination wave 2 showing that we are now in a C wave of the double combination Y wave. 3. 3 different trendlines: The purple is expected to break, the blue is where price is expected to be rejected that will coincide with the top of the resistance zone, and the green which will be our stop loss if break above. 4. A take short position risk-reward plot where SL is set is initially set up at 147.187 but this should really be following the green trendline, and a TP that is initially set at the blue H&S neckline at 141.042 (see previous USDJPY idea for the big picture H&S plot). Overall, I am expecting a final push for USDJPY to move up that will be in-line with the equity markets last leg up) and then a higher degree wave 3 down for USDJPY that will also be in-line with equity markets downturn. Good luck!
Short
by yuchaosng
4
EURJPY : Bullish Breakout Indicates a Bigger MovementEURJPY: Bullish Breakout Indicates a Bigger Movement Yesterday, during the ECB rate decision, EURJPY broke out from a large bullish pattern. Actually, the price is testing the broken resistance, now turned into support. The price is already testing 164.20 and probably during the coming week EURJPY may start a bigger bullish movement with targets 164.15 and 165.60 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
9
USDCAD WILL DELIVER BY FIREThe USD/CAD trended lower in a volatile manner this week, declining 0.29% on a weekly basis, reflecting the relative resilience of the Canadian dollar supported by the Bank of Canada's (BoC) policy and economic data. The BoC maintained its interest rate at 2.75%, in line with market expectations. The BoC's concerns about Trump's tariff policies mirror the widespread anxieties among global central banks regarding the impact of trade wars. The central bank is likely to remain on hold in the short term to observe the effects of trade policies. If employment data turns out to be robust, the Canadian dollar may gain further support. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
1
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? EURUSD remains below a key resistance zone, and at this stage, it does not appear to have enough momentum to break through. We are watching for potential sell setups around this area. As long as there is no daily candle close above the resistance, we expect a pullback toward the specified support level. If a daily candle closes above the resistance zone, the bearish scenario will be invalidated, and the structure may shift. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
1
GBP/USD - Weekend analysis, a short opportunity We begin the analysis on the 30 minute chart, we can see that a 5 point trendline has been broken on Friday, the end of the week. Price never recovered above the trendline by day end and is currently trending down as we can see from the new trendline connecting the closing prices of a few recent candles. When we zoom in on the chart we can also see that the break of the trendline occurred on high volume, a key signal that we should respect this break and expect a potential significant move to follow. We can also see on the RSI that price is below 50 which means downside momentum is still present. This is a good opportunity to get in on a short trade and place a stop loss above the trendline that was broken, aiming for a take profit that grants a 1:1.5 RR.
Short
by TAandFA
2
USDCAD → One step away from distributionFX:USDCAD is recovering amid the dollar's growth. Unemployment news is ahead. A return of the price to the buying zone may support the currency pair. Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, a change in the market phase is forming (unconfirmed). The price has stopped updating lows and is forming an eql, from which it is breaking out of the downtrend. The initial retest of liquidity at 1.366 may end in a correction. However, a quick retest and consolidation of the price above the level will confirm the change in sentiment Resistance levels: 1.3686, 1.3732 Support levels: 1.3675, 1.366 Despite the fact that the price broke the downward resistance, the currency pair is still under pressure from sellers who are waiting for the price to fall from 1.3686. A breakout, a change in market sentiment to bullish, and consolidation above 1.3675-1.3686 will confirm readiness for a recovery. Zones of interest: eqh 1.3732 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
EURUSD: Bears May Regain Control of the PriceEURUSD: Bears May Regain Control of the Price From our previous analysis, EURUSD extended the Z wave to 1.1495 due to high volatility and speculation related to Trump's comments against China and the old price theme. However, nothing changed again. EURUSD found sellers near 1.1495 which had already rejected the price again and it seems that the downward movement may resume soon. We do not have clear signs of a reversal yet, but as long as the price is holding and the patterns are valid, the chances are that EURUSD will fall as shown in the chart. Bearish Targets: 1.1230 – First major support level 1.1100 – Possible second target 1.1000 – A deeper correction point 1.0900 – Strong structural support You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
2
USD/JPY Higher-Low, 142.50 DefenseUSD/JPY continues to exert force on the USD and the past week was no different. Despite an open door for sellers, a higher-low showed with a hold of the same 142.50 support level that was in-play a week prior. That price traded early on Tuesday (Monday night in the states) and then on Thursday (Wed night in the U.S.) buyers came in to hold the low just above that price, illustrating a degree of bullish anticipation. Reports of slowing pace of bond tapering from the BoJ, and perhaps even smaller reductions to the banks bond buying helped to soften long-term Japanese yields: 40 year JGBs made a move towards the 3% marker after skyrocketing up to 3.7% just a few weeks ago. That helped JPY-weakness to continue against the USD and USD/JPY is back to re-testing the 145.00 handle in the pair. This remains a key component if a USD turn is nearby, but interestingly working with that turn may be more attractive against the Euro in a pair like EUR/USD as USD/JPY has continued to show traps on both sides of the market for much of 2025 trade. - js
by FOREXcom
1
EUR/USD Bulls Fail to Press 1.1500 - Builds Possible Lower-HighFor EUR/USD it's what didn't happen this week... Despite a seemingly open door for bulls to run a breakout, helped along by a Christine Lagarde that sounded less dovish than usual at Friday's rate cut, the pair put in a hard charge towards the 1.1500 handle but interestingly fell just about 5 pips short of the big figure. That's the same price that helped to bring a pullback back in April but in that instance, bulls were able to force a test above - and this time, it's as if sellers were waiting at the ready - and unwilling to miss the shot to get short. This can be read as bearish anticipation and while it's not an automatic indication of reversal, it can be an attractive first step towards that. So far there remains bullish potential on the daily chart as the past week has produced both a higher-low and a higher-high. But from the four hour, deeper pullback potential appears as a breach of the 1.1400 level shows a shorter-term lower-low. And that, combined with the failure to test 1.1500, makes EUR/USD an attractive venue if looking for USD-strength. And if looking for USD-weakness it seems that there are more attractive options out there, such as GBP/USD which did set a fresh three-year-high this week even as EUR/USD held at a lower-high. - js
by FOREXcom
1
EUR/USD - After taking the highs, are the lows next?The EUR/USD currency pair is moving between two important price levels. The top level is 1.1454 and the bottom level is 1.1357. This means the price is staying inside a range. Yesterday, the price of EUR/USD went above the top level of 1.1454. By doing this, it triggered many stop-loss orders from traders who were expecting the price to go down. These traders had placed their stop-losses just above this level, and the market moved up to take them out. Current support of the 1H FVG Now, the price is starting to go down again. It is getting closer to the lower level of the range, which is around 1.1357. There is a chance that the market will go below this level as well. If that happens, it may take out the stop-loss orders of traders who are expecting the price to go up. These traders often place their stop-losses just below the low point of the range. When the market goes below the low, it collects liquidity. In simple words, it grabs the orders that are waiting there. Looking at the chart, we can see that EUR/USD has found some support at the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (1H FVG). This area is acting like a short-term floor for the price. If a full 1-hour candle closes below this support area, then the price will likely fall further. In that case, it may reach the bottom of the range and possibly move below it to take out more stop-losses. Why below support? But why would the market go below the low on purpose? The reason is that many retail traders, those are small traders who trade from home, often put their stop-losses just below the recent low. If the market moves there, it activates those stop-losses. These stop-losses are usually sell orders, and when they get triggered, it gives the market extra selling power. After collecting this liquidity, the market often uses the new buying interest (from other traders entering long positions) to push the price back up again. Conclusion So in summary, the EUR/USD is still inside a range. It has already moved above the top to take out stop-losses, and now it might go below the bottom to do the same. After that, there could be a strong move upward, powered by the new liquidity in the market. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
18