Futures market
XAU/USD: Gold's Critical Decision Point! FOR JUNE 06, 2025 📊 CURRENT SNAPSHOT
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🎯 THE SETUP: "Golden Triangle Breakout"
Gold is sitting at a CRITICAL JUNCTURE - trapped between major support and resistance levels, forming what I call the "Golden Pressure Cooker" pattern.
🔍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🔴 RESISTANCE ZONE (The Ceiling)
* LWH (Last Week High): \$3,403.55 - Ultimate target
* LWL (Last Week Low): \$3,297.94 - Immediate resistance
* 4H FVG: \$3,350 area - Major supply zone
🟡 CURRENT BATTLEFIELD
* Price Action: Consolidating in tight range
* PWL (Previous Week Low): \$3,245.28 - Key pivot
🔴 DANGER ZONE (The Floor)
* DIE ZONE: \$3,121.70 - Critical support
* Break below = Major bearish signal
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📈 MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
What the Chart is Telling Us:
1. 📊 Consolidation Phase: Gold has been ranging for several sessions
2. ⚡ 4H FVG Above: Acting as a magnet for price
3. 🎯 Triple Test: Price respecting the PWL level multiple times
4. 📉 Volume Decline: Typical before major moves
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🚀 TRADING SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1: "Golden Rocket" 🚀 (BULLISH)
IF price breaks above \$3,297.94 (LWL):
* Target 1: \$3,330- +1.2% gain
* Target 2: \$3,350(FVG) - +3.9% gain
* Stop Loss: \$3,280 - Risk: -0.5%
Risk/Reward: 1:1.8 ⭐⭐⭐
SCENARIO 2: "Golden Avalanche" 📉 (BEARISH)
IF price breaks below \$3,245.28 (PWL):
* Target 1: \$3,200 (Psychological level)
* Target 2: \$3,121.70 (Die Zone)
* Stop Loss: \$3,297.94 (LWL)
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💡 SIMPLE TRADING PLAN
🎯 FOR BULLS (Buy Setup):
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ENTRY: Break above $3,298 with volume
STOP: $3,285
TARGET 1: $3,330
TARGET 2: $3,360
🎯 FOR BEARS (Sell Setup):
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ENTRY: Break below $3,245 with volume
STOP: $3,298 (LWL)
TARGET 1: $3,200
TARGET 2: $3,122 (Die Zone)
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⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
1. Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of account
2. Wait for Confirmation: Don't jump early
3. Volume is Key: Breakouts need volume
4. Time Limit: Close if no movement in 2 days
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🔥 WHY THIS SETUP MATTERS
Gold is at a crossroads! The tight consolidation suggests big players are accumulating positions. When this range breaks, expect explosive movement in either direction.
Smart Money Clues:
* Multiple tests of PWL = Strong support
* 4H FVG above = Price magnet effect
* Low volume = Calm before the storm
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📊 MARKET CONTEXT
* Dollar Weakness: Could fuel gold rally
* Economic Uncertainty: Safe haven demand
* Technical Setup: Clean breakout pattern
* Timeframe: Perfect for swing trades
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🎯 MY VERDICT
Gold is COILED and ready to EXPLODE!
The setup favors the bullish scenario due to:
✅ Strong support holding at PWL
✅ 4H FVG acting as price magnet
✅ Multiple failed attempts to break lower
✅ Overall uptrend structure intact
But remember: Respect the levels and trade the breakout, not your bias!
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🚨 ACTION ITEMS
1. Set Alerts: \$3,298 (bull trigger) & \$3,245 (bear trigger)
2. Watch Volume: Breakouts need confirmation
3. Be Patient: Wait for clean breaks
4. Have Both Plans: Ready for either direction
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Trade Smart, Stay Safe! 🥇💰
The market rewards patience and punishes impatience.
XAUSD Long Position
Greetings Traders this is my analysis for GOLD and its is Long Position.
🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Technical Analysis | 4H Time Frame
Currently, gold is showing signs of a potential bullish continuation after a corrective move. Price is retracing back toward a key support zone, from which a previous strong uptrend was initiated.
🔍 Key Chart Elements:
Inverse Head & Shoulders Formation:
Clearly visible Left Shoulder, Higher Top (Head), and Right Shoulder signal the end of the downtrend and the start of a bullish phase.
Pattern confirms upward momentum.
Elliott Wave structure suggests the correction phase may be ending.
After a confirmed uptrend breakout, price reached the previous target and is now in a pullback.
Support Level: 3,172 – a historically strong zone that previously triggered bullish rebounds.
Expected Scenario: Formation of a new bullish wave above the support, aiming toward the target zone at 3,505 – 3,520, which acts as major resistance.
📈 Trade Setup Idea:
✅ Long Entry: On bullish confirmation above 3,172
❌ Stop Loss: Below 3,150 (below key support)
🎯 Target: 3,505 – 3,520 (resistance zone)
Dear Traders like,comment let me know what do you think?
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📈 ENTRY: "The Heist Begins!"
Wait for MA breakout (33.700)—then strike! Bullish profits await.
Options:
Buy Stop above Moving Average OR
Buy Limit near pullback zones (15-30min timeframe, swing lows/highs).
📌 Pro Tip: Set an ALERT for breakout confirmation!
🛑 STOP LOSS: "Listen Up, Thieves!"
For Buy Stop Orders: DO NOT set SL until after breakout!
Place SL at recent/swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk, lot size, & order count.
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🏴☠️ TARGET: 34.700
Scalpers: Only trade LONG. Use trailing SL to protect gains.
Swing Traders: Join the robbery squad & ride the trend!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP:
Bullish drivers in play! Check:
Macro trends, COT reports, sentiment, intermarket analysis.
🔗 Linkks in bio/chart for deep dive.
⚠️ TRADING ALERTS:
News = Volatility! Avoid new trades during releases.
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XAU USD SHORT RESULT Gold price was in a Bearish trend as at point of setup. Price was trading inside a falling expanding channel pattern, also from a supply zone all indicating signs of bear strength to the major Support Trendline and Zone.
And moved perfectly as predicted.👌🔥
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.🔱
WTICOUSD - BULLISH
Typical Wycoff
Break Re-Test
Slight Tap of FV Gap
Bullish Engulfing Candle
Usually signifies "In a Hurry".
Best Analysis i think was Perplexity Ai
Bullish Case for Oil
US Jobs Data: Stronger-than-expected US jobs numbers have pushed prices higher, with algos covering short bets
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions in Ukraine and Iran, plus Canadian wildfires, are supporting prices due to potential supply disruptions
OPEC+ Supply Increase Smaller Than Feared: OPEC+ is raising output, but by less than the market expected, which has helped limit downside pressure and even sparked price gains
Recent Price Action: Oil has rebounded to around $64–$65 (Brent) after several weeks of losses, suggesting some stabilization and potential for a technical bounce
Deep Ai
Probability of bullish continuation: 75/100
Technical s indicate a relatively high likelihood that the current bullish trend will continue toward the identified resistance zone above, provided no major fundamental shifts occur. However, caution remains due to potential pullbacks or consolidation near resistance levels.
This is the safest place to enter usually
Cost average in not stops they suck !
imho
Lets See : )
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Gold prices may continue to fall next MondayGold prices may continue to fall next Monday
As shown in Figure 4h:
On Friday, gold prices fluctuated downward and prices fell back. The overall trend continued to return to the 3400-3180 range of fluctuations.
I have emphasized this analysis to all fans. This is the trend of differentiation and divergence;
I have emphasized this analysis to all fans. This is the trend of differentiation and divergence;
Current overall market:
1: Gold prices pay attention to the 3300 support level. If it returns to fluctuations, the market will return to the range. From a technical perspective next week, it is expected to fluctuate downward;
2: Due to the large drop on Friday, the current central axis support level is around 3340, and it is necessary to pay attention to the short-term pressure performance of 3340;
3: The current trend tends to fluctuate in the range; the long and short trends are still unable to break through the balance range of 3500-2950; at the same time, the weekly K-line is still in the mode of exchanging time for space. The weekly K-line exchanges time for space, and there are great variables in the future!
If there is fundamental stimulus, even 3500 points cannot stop it; if there is no fundamental stimulus, the world will return to calm and the bull market will end;
But from the current global fundamentals, the chaotic situation of global fundamentals is temporarily difficult to end completely;
From the weekly K-line trend, there is a high probability that there will be more fundamental events in the future, stimulating the gold price to form a second test of 3500 points;
If the long-term bull market is to end, the global fundamentals must be reversed, otherwise it will be difficult to change the overall bull market pattern;
Summary: Next week we will first look at the rebound and callback near 3300 points, and look down after the rebound and callback, and look at the range of shocks and downs;
Operation strategy: Pay attention to the blue path in the figure
1: First test whether the 3300-3310 support level in the Asian session is stable?
2: If the gold price can rebound, pay attention to whether the pressure in the 3320-3340 range is effective!
3: Try to choose high prices to short, stop loss: 3345-3350
4: Expected gold price decline target on Monday: 3370-3350
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Supports & Resistances for Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Vertical Support 2: Falling trend line
Horizontal Structures
Horizontal Support 1: 3231 - 3286 area
Horizontal Support 2: 3121 - 3177 area
Horizontal Resistance 1: 3372 - 3404 area
Horizontal Resistance 2: 3427 - 3423 area
Horizontal Resistance 3: 3492 - 3500 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Weekend ForecastingKey Concepts on the Chart
Market Sessions Highlighted (Tokyo):
• Grey boxes represent the Tokyo trading session, a time often used to identify liquidity and manipulation zones.
• These zones are often swept during the London or New York sessions.
Structure Points with Red Dots:
• These indicate significant swing highs and lows, used to define market structure and changes in trend.
BOS (Break of Structure):
• Marked around the middle of the chart.
• Indicates that price broke below a previous low, shifting from bullish to bearish structure.
MSS (Market Structure Shift):
• Located before the BOS.
• Signifies an early warning that the bullish structure was weakening.
Liquidity Zones ($$$$):
• These areas mark liquidity pools, where many stop-losses or pending orders are likely resting.
• The market often targets these zones before reversing.
6. Price Action Forecast (Right side of the chart):
• Current price is at a liquidity sweep low (~3309.980).
• Forecast shows a potential bullish reversal from this liquidity grab zone.
• Price is projected to rally back into the gray supply zone (~3340–3345) for a possible mitigation.
• Then, it may retrace before pushing higher to take out the “Asia High” (~3375).
Bullish Bias Justification
• Liquidity Grab at the recent low could fuel a reversal.
• Previous supply zones may act as mitigation points for a retracement.
• Targeting the Asian session high fits a typical smart money play: grab liquidity below, then reverse and run buy-side liquidity.
Overall Interpretation
• The analyst expects a bullish move after the liquidity sweep at the lows.
• A classic smart money reversal setup is forming: BOS → retracement → liquidity sweep → reversal targeting equal highs/liquidity above.
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction Near Resistance Levels📊 Market Overview:
As of June 6, 2025, gold prices have surged, trading around $3,373 per ounce, up $26.63 from the previous session . This increase is driven by weaker-than-expected U.S. job data, with initial jobless claims rising to 247,000, surpassing the forecast of 236,000 . This has heightened expectations that the Federal Reserve may consider cutting interest rates in the near future.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance Levels: $3,390 – $3,430
• Nearest Support Levels: $3,340 – $3,300
• EMA: Gold prices are currently above the 09 EMA, indicating a sustained upward trend.
• Candlestick Patterns / Volume / Momentum: The RSI on the 4-hour chart is at 58.27, suggesting that while bullish momentum persists, the market is approaching overbought territory .
📌 Outlook:
Gold may experience a short-term correction if U.S. employment data is strong, reducing expectations for Fed rate cuts. However, the long-term uptrend remains supported by safe-haven demand and central bank purchases.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,430
o 🎯 TP: $3,400
o ❌ SL: $3,440
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,330
o 🎯 TP: $3,360
o ❌ SL: $3,220
NQ100 → Entering the Danger Zone?📈 1. Technical Context (Price Action & Structure)
The daily chart shows a strong bullish continuation from the 17,350 area, with price now extending toward the 22,000 USD zone.
We are currently within a weekly/monthly supply, with:
Mild RSI divergence in overbought conditions
Temporary rejection at 22,050–22,200
A potential liquidity sweep above highs before distribution or pullback
The monthly structure shows a strong swing low that may serve as anchor for a future reversal
🧠 2. COT Report – Commitment of Traders (as of June 3)
Commercials (Smart Money):
+4,041 long | +3,320 short → Net +1,455 → hedging phase, not trend expansion
Non-Commercials (Speculators):
–2,237 long | +125 short → net exposure reduction
Open Interest increasing → new positions building, but no extreme imbalance
📌 Conclusion: Tactical neutrality, slight bullish lean from commercials.
📆 3. Seasonality
June has been historically bullish, especially in the past 2 years (+700 pts avg)
10Y average still leans bullish
⚠️ September is a clear seasonal reversal month across all timeframes
📌 Conclusion: Seasonal tailwind through end of June; cyclic reversal risk into Q3.
📰 4. Macro Calendar
High-impact USD week:
CPI – Wed, June 11
PPI – Thu, June 12
These will be critical to:
Validate the disinflation narrative
Set expectations for a Fed cut by Sep/Nov
📌 Conclusion: Expect explosive mid-week volatility — watch for liquidity spikes above 22,000 if CPI surprises.
⚙️ Operational Outlook
✅ Primary scenario (bullish continuation):
🎯 Target: 22,260 → fib extension + structure
❌ Invalid below 21,350
🔄 Alternative scenario (mean reversion):
🔻 Short from 22,050–22,200
🎯 Target: 20,950 → liquidity + FVG zone
🔁 Trigger: weekly engulf or hotter-than-expected CPI
As shown in the figure: 30-minute cycle chartAs shown in the figure: 30-minute cycle chart
This week, the gold price broke through the head and shoulders bottom pattern and stopped at around $3,400
Following the sharp drop last Friday, the gold price trend showed a wide range of fluctuations, superimposed on the M chart resonance downward.
It is expected that the gold price will continue to fall on Monday.
1: On Monday this week, the gold price effectively broke through the blue macro triangle oscillation and went out of a new wave of pull-ups, but it was not until the highest point on Thursday that it effectively stood above the $3,400 mark. The downward trend after the release of non-agricultural data on Friday shows that the recent gold price is purely driven by policy and news.
2: The gold price has currently fallen below the central oscillation range of 3,340, and continues to fall and stop loss above 3,300. From this we draw the following conclusions:
A: As long as the gold price is below $3,340, the gold trading strategy should try to adopt a high-level short-selling strategy, with a stop loss set at 3,345-3,350.
B: 3,300-3,310 is the current effective support area. After fully testing the stability of the support level, you can consider trying to chase the short after the rebound high.
C: Key support level: 3200-3220-3250-3270-3300
D: Key pressure level: 3400-3340
Expected target for gold price decline on Monday: 3275-3250
Fridays 6th June - XAU Ascending Triangle Breakout (4H)Friday 6th June we observed price spend the majority of the early hours of the London session ranging between support and resistance zones Within a 4Hour ascending triangle pattern from the higher timeframe, the interesting scenario was that within this "4hour" higher spectrum, there was a nice, neat 1Hour Descending triangle forming within the space, as it continued to form, it was almost making a slight statement to the market watchers. Was this our clue as to what was about to occur or was this just a coincidence?
For me personally , I take into account everything that gets presented in front of me on any given day, after all, that is what the charts do, the flow and move unknowingly to upper or lower levels, our job is simply to analyse which way that price is MORE LIKELEY to travel, so as mentioned on the previously published detail Friday morning, we marked it out with some trend lines, stating the precise positions for support and resistance forming a nice near descending triangle WITHIN the higher timeframes Ascending pattern and continued to observe price unfold.
Eventually, price, in the late afternoon timescale for London, early hours of New York made its move, the floodgates opened and the news releases initiated what was to be the next breakout on XAU.
We had a choppy start to the breakout on lower timeframes as we edged into the apex of the pattern, however, sitting tight and waiting patiently before we took our execution, there was 1 final hurdle to overcome, the 4hour EMA, sitting slightly below our breakout zone of support.
It was too high of a risk to just enter for the scalp on a sell without seeing clear momentum through the EMA, but as soon as we had that final conformation it was an all systems go approach to execute and secure a nice 1:4rr scalp on the short.
personally i closed the trade at some relevant support below our initial entry, however with some sturdier hands and more patience, we could of easy doubled our profit margin for the trade and allowed it to continue to run for a few more hours.
it was money in the bank though and overall a successful end to another profitable week.
10k in 2 weeks, we will take that for now and continue our mission to build consistent results in the market.
All eyes on gold for its next position, my analysis is for a deeper correction before we see some sharp upturns in the market on this golden rocket!
good luck traders.
Learn, Earn and Grow Together
Pay close attention to this ☠️
The markets are supposed to open on an upward gap, but according to my analysis, it should be a small downward gap and then the price covers the previous price gap at 3295 and then the bullish party begins with all the power of the global economy.
But I say this from my pulpit. A bullish price gap and very high liquidity at the opening and then the markets calm down for hours and by ten o'clock in the morning on Monday, gold will have covered the previous gap at 3295 and rebounded upwards above the gap or opening price this week.
This and God knows best ❤️
Do a little search for charitable academy
Breaking the big frame, gold price returns to accumulation✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/09/2025 - 06/13/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices declined for a second straight session on Friday, yet remain on track to close the week with a gain of over 1.30%, as traders recalibrate expectations for Federal Reserve policy easing following a stronger-than-expected U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,322, marking a 0.84% daily decline.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the labor market continues to show resilience, with the unemployment rate holding steady from April. Meanwhile, Wall Street staged a modest rebound from Thursday’s losses, despite political tensions flaring between President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, following the House's approval of a bill to raise the U.S. debt ceiling.
🔥 Identify:
Gold prices reacted lower after the release of good May employment data. Breaking the H4 uptrend line, gold prices continued to accumulate.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3348, $3400
Support: $3251, $3202
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD Bearish Setup! OB Rejection + FVG + 61.8% Fib PremiumGold (XAUUSD) | 4H Chart – High-Probability Bearish Setup
XAUUSD is setting up for a bearish move as price taps into a premium zone confluence, including an Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG), and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders will recognize this setup as a textbook scenario for a bearish continuation toward a Weak Low target.
🔍 SMC Breakdown:
Market Structure:
The market has shifted bearish after breaking the previous low and forming a lower high. The internal structure confirms bearish order flow, giving us confidence in continuation to the downside.
Liquidity & Inefficiency Play:
Recent sweep of buy-side liquidity above minor highs.
Rejection at premium pricing indicates Smart Money has triggered sell programs.
Internal liquidity pools were engineered and swept, confirming manipulation.
Entry Confluence Zone (Kill Zone):
🔴 Order Block (OB):
3,372 – 3,380 — bearish OB formed before strong impulse move.
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Perfect overlap with the OB, leaving a gap that price has now rebalanced into.
📐 Fibonacci Levels from Swing Low to High:
61.8% = 3,373
70.5% = 3,377
79% = 3,380
This entire zone aligns with institutional premium pricing — the high-probability reversal range.
📉 Bearish Projection:
Expecting price to reject from OB/FVG zone and move toward the discount zone, targeting unmitigated lows and imbalance fills.
Key Downside Targets:
50% = 3,368
Full Extension = 3,333 (Aligned with Weak Low)
This level also sits near the 0.00% Fib level — a clean liquidity magnet.
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry: 3,373 – 3,380 (OB + FVG + Fib Premium)
🔻 Stop Loss: Above 3,381 (invalidate OB)
📉 Take Profit: 3,333 (Weak Low + Fib Completion)
⚖ RRR: ~1:4+ — high-confluence sniper setup
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
You're not trading random candles — you're trading intentional liquidity shifts.
This setup screams Smart Money footprint: OB rejection + inefficiency fill + premium pricing.
Be the sniper — not the trigger-happy retail trader. 🥷🎯
📍 Save this setup before it plays out — backtest and learn from it!
🔁 Drop your analysis below – agree or see it differently?
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily institutional-grade setups on Gold & more!