splitmyIVandmelt

splitmyIVandmelt

Good Morning -- Last week we reviewed the potential of the S&P 500, this week let us take a look at the potential perspective of NASDAQ:QQQ . IV (17.97%) entering the week is trending 31% IVp on the year and has been gradually lowering as price action grinds higher and out of corrective territory -- This is +2.61% more volatile than near-term trending values...

splitmyIVandmelt

Good Morning! Here is my weekly perspective for NASDAQ:IBIT From when we reviewed last weekend, IV (41.19%) has lowered -2.23% and is entering the week with a 0% IVp. We have been in this pattern of rotating IV and Bi-Weekly volatility trends back and forth as HV10 (29.73%) entering the week has increased +1.49% from it's respective level entering last week....

splitmyIVandmelt

Good Morning! Here is my weekly perspective for CBOE:BITX -- From when we reviewed last weekend, IV (84.60%) has lowered -2.39% and is entering the week with a 2% IVp. We have been in this pattern of rotating IV and Bi-Weekly volatility trends back and forth as HV10 (62.69%) entering the week has increased +2.47% from it's respective level entering last week....

splitmyIVandmelt

Volatility, as measured by standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and provides a level of probability and precision to trade within, that humbles us all. Last week, the TVC:VIX opened steadily dropping as markets rose into Thursday, (June 5th) where the broader markets drilled within the public drama of Elon Musk and President Trump. Talk about DRAMA...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Volatility, as measured by standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and provides a level of probability and precision to trade within, that humbles us all. Last week, the TVC:VIX opened above $21.00 and closed just under $19.00 for a near flat week even for all the eventful action that took place. That being once again, tariff related news with the...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Good afternoon -- Here is my weekly perspective for NASDAQ:IBIT IV (43.42%) entering the week sits in the 6th percentile for the year. HV10 (28.24%) has been lowering towards it's yearly lows of 23.43% showing a coiling of bi-weekly values at 95.19% from this -- and a divergence from IV of -15.81% . IV is chasing the sinking bi-weekly volatility trends. We...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Good afternoon -- Here is my weekly perspective for CBOE:BITX IV (86.99%) entering the week sits in the 3rd percentile for the year. HV10 (60.22%) has been lowering towards it's yearly lows of 47.87% showing a coiling of bi-weekly values at 87.65% from this -- and a divergence from IV of -26.77% . IV is chasing the sinking bi-weekly volatility trends. We...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Good Afternoon, Here is my weekly perspective for NASDAQ:IBIT --- IV (48.31%) entering this week is holding in the 24th percent range for the year and has been climbing weekly from putting in new lows at the beginning of the year. We essentially have been seeing rising IV with rising price action, the best of the best. Premium increases from price action...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Good Afternoon, Here is my weekly perspective for CBOE:BITX IV (96.75%) entering this week is holding in the 18th percent range for the year and has been climbing weekly from putting in new lows at the beginning of the year. We essentially have been seeing rising IV with rising price action, the best of the best. Premium increases from price action climbing...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Good Afternoon! This week, I want to talk about the CBOE:SPX and its weekly potential for how I read historical volatility to weight it then to implied volatility -- this creates my custom trading ranges. Implied ranges for this week are calculated at 4 DTE using my strength of IV method. You can find out more how I do this over at my highlights page on 'X' -...

splitmyIVandmelt

Volatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. In my analysis, I track trending volatility to discern historical patterns (HV) and utilize them to anticipate future outcomes (IV). This weighted indicator provides a comprehensive and accurate range for...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Volatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. This week with SP:SPX bi-weekly trends have risen to just below our monthly values and are currently expansive over the markets IV prediction. Right now as I see it, HV10 is going resonate alongside our monthly...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Volatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. This week with AMEX:SPY bi-weekly trends have risen to just below our monthly values and are currently expansive over the markets IV prediction. Right now as I see it, HV10 is going resonate alongside our monthly...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Volatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. This week with AMEX:IWM you can see that last week trending bi-weekly markets were more volatile than our monthly trending values. This could indicate regression to quarterly means, but for now shows a 15.02%...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Volatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. This week with NASDAQ:QQQ we see that the shorter term trending volatility is resonating like SP:SPX and AMEX:SPY just under our monthly values. Range seems to be expanding allowing for cheaper premium capture...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Volatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. Now we move on to the world of BTC with a look at NASDAQ:IBIT Here, as we have been observing an ongoing regression, you see that HV10 has expanded past HV21 and now IV is predicting more range expansion leading...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Volatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. Now we move on to the world of BTC with a look at CBOE:BITX Here, as we have been observing an ongoing regression, you see that HV10 has expanded past HV21 and now IV is predicting more range expansion leading...

splitmyIVandmelt Updated 

Volatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. I wanted to take a look at at least one of the magnificent 7s with the community this weekend, so I decided on NASDAQ:MSFT because it had the lowest IV of them all. Lowest IV = best premium value, right? Well it...